Political scientist: A repetition of the Libyan or Syrian scenario is  possible in Iran

ArmInfo. In Iran, a repetition of the Syrian or Libyan scenario is possible, with an attempt to deploy so-called security forces on its territory, as stated by Artur Khachikyan, Stanford University political scientist  and doctor of political science, when discussing possible scenarios for  developments around Iran.

He noted that the US and Israel initially planned to eliminate the  military and political leadership in order to immediately change the  regime in Iran. However, as the political scientist noted, they  failed to do so.  Therefore, Khachikyan believes that attacks against  Iran will continue at a more intense rate and may escalate into a  large-scale conflict. "Hospitals and schools are being destroyed, and  the death toll among civilians has already reached 800. An attempt is  being made to decapitate the Iranian leadership so that a new one  willing to make concessions can take its place," the political  scientist wrote on his Facebook page.

Khachikyan also mentioned the possibility of provoking civil unrest  or an ethnic war to destabilize Iran and force its capitulation as  another possible scenario. "That is, a repetition of the Syrian or  Libyan scenario is possible. This could mean that some forces will  attempt to deploy so-called security forces on Iranian territory, as  was done, for instance, in Syria," Khachikyan noted.

The political scientist pointed out the possibility of using local  forces to achieve these goals, such as Kurds or other national  minorities. In this regard, he noted that Iran is home to Arabs,  Persians, and Azerbaijanis, meaning that approximately 50% of the  population consists of minorities that could be used to destabilize  the country. "The US and Israel will continue to destroy Iran's  leadership from the air and provoke civil war, ethnic clashes, and  conflicts on the ground in order to force Iran to capitulate," the  expert believes.

In this situation, Khachikyan noted, the point is how long Iran will  be able to withstand these challenges.  He also emphasized that it is  no easy task for the United States, as military equipment is limited,  as even the US military leadership has already stated. Furthermore,   the political cost is high, noting that complaints are being heard  around the world, even in Manila, India, Iraq, Pakistan, and many  major American cities.

"US President Donald Trump came to power promising to establish  peace, but it was precisely with his arrival that many wars began.  Continuing the war will have negative consequences for the country  itself, for example, an economic crisis is possible - oil and gas  prices have already skyrocketed, political pressure is also growing,  and complaints are being heard around the world," Khachikyan  concluded.