
ArmInfo. International relations expert Suren Sargsyan believes that under Donald Trump's second administration, the United States, with the help of Armenia and Azerbaijan, has come close to gaining influence in the South Caucasus and undermining Russia's position in the region. He shared his insights on Facebook, summing up US Vice President J.D. Vance's visit to Yerevan and Baku.
He noted that Vance's visit should neither be underestimated nor overestimated, and that all that is needed is a proper understanding of the nuances of US policy and interests. "It's noteworthy that it was under Donald Trump's second administration that the United States came close to achieving what all previous administrations had been striving for nearly 30 years-establishing influence in the South Caucasus and dismantling Russia's position in the region. This was not achieved by the George W. Bush administration, which exploited the Georgian factor. However, today, there is a possibility that something similar can be achieved with the help of Armenia and Azerbaijan," Sargsyan noted.
Speaking about the agreements reached during Vance's visit, the expert expressed his belief that the United States will not directly invest in Armenia, but will grant a " green light" to American companies to sell billions in technologies and goods. "Currently, the Trump administration is actively attracting investment worldwide by selling American goods, weapons, and technology to various countries," Sargsyan said.
He also pointed out that Vance supports neither Armenia nor Azerbaijan; he is advancing US geopolitical interests from Central Asia to Europe, some of which are routed through the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP). The expert called this a completely normal practice and added that the US Vice President, following the same logic, does not support Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, but supports those who serve an agenda favorable to the US. "For the US, Armenia and Azerbaijan are on the same plane of interaction, though Azerbaijan's importance is weighed more heavily for many reasons. As already mentioned, the US government does not make direct investments; it provides a "green light" for foreign investment and issues permits for the export of technologies. This applies to both Armenia and Azerbaijan. Who will benefit from these opportunities depends on the capabilities of the authorities of each country," Sargsyan clarified.
The expert then commented on Vance's statement regarding Armenian prisoners of war (he promised to raise this issue in Baku - ed.). Sargsyan noted that, in terms of its content, it remained mere words, which is unfortunate for a leading US presidential candidate. "The defensive and reconnaissance weapons supplied to Azerbaijan are not intended against Armenia, but to protect the maritime and land border with Iran. As for the deleted post about visiting the Tsitsernakaberd Genocide Memorial, this is a very frivolous step and an oversight on the part of Vance's team," the expert believes. Sargsyan also criticized Vance's commentary on Armenian domestic elections, calling it a mistake given Washington's own decade-long sensitivity to foreign electoral meddling.