Analyst: Statements that  the Azerbaijan-Karabakh conflict is "over"   are unfounded

ArmInfo.  In the absence of tangible results from the initialing of the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace treaty, the public enthusiasm of the authorities and the statements of Armenia's opponents are largely viewed as demonstrative measures aimed at satisfying a solely domestic political agenda. Political analyst Tigran Dumikyan writes about this on his Facebook  page.

He noted that less than a month has passed since the initialing of  the treaty in Washington, and the country's authorities are already  presenting it as a practically completed process. Meanwhile, in the  absence of real results, the public enthusiasm of the authorities and  the statements of Armenia's opponents are mainly seen as  demonstrative measures aimed at satisfying a purely domestic  political agenda. This situation, as the analyst noted, is  reminiscent of the signing of the Armenian- Turkish protocols in  Zurich in 2009, which was presented as a "historic achievement" with  the broad participation of international figures. It is worth noting  that against the backdrop of this event, US President Barack Obama  was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. However, as the analyst recalls,  this initiative failed, Armenian-Turkish relations remained  unresolved, the border was closed, and Turkey's support for  Azerbaijan only increased. 

"Firstly, the statements that the Azerbaijan-Karabakh conflict is  "over" are practically groundless.  Even if Baku does not stop the  sham trials against our compatriots after the initiative to dissolve  the OSCE Minsk Group, this indicates that the conflict page is far  from resolved for the military- political leadership of Azerbaijan.  It continues to be used as an instrument of pressure on Armenia.   Consequently, the document initialed in Washington did not provide  fundamental legal and political guarantees, and the excuses that are  voiced regarding the insufficient efforts of the Armenian side are  actually worth nothing. The statements and actions of the Azerbaijani  leadership also contradict the logic of the peace: if the president  of this country announces the closing of the conflict page in the  first half of the day, and in the second half of the day gives the  army the order to be ready for war, directly threatening Armenia,  then it is impossible to ignore these concerns. 

Iran's warnings regarding the Syunik issue also indicate that current  events may escalate into a serious geopolitical crisis. Moreover,  such behavior of the ruling regime in Armenia provides reasons to  assume that the "Trump road" can be implemented solely based on the  interests of Azerbaijan, without a comprehensive peace treaty that  would ensure unimpeded communication of the "Turkic world". At the  same time, other vital communication channels for Armenia, such as  the border with Turkey, may remain closed for a long time. This, in  turn, will lead to an economic and political imbalance,  further  weakening of Armenia's sovereignty and increased risks of regional  dependence," the analyst emphasized. In this context, he believes, it  is unacceptable to use the peace process for the purposes of domestic  political propaganda, imposing on voters a false dilemma of "peace or  war" that does not reflect the real complexity of the situation. Such  a manipulative approach, which once again polarizes the political  field into "black and white", will not lead to anything good. Peace  cannot be presented as an advertised "result", whose value can be  questioned.  It must be clearly defined, legally established with  security guarantees, aligned with the state's strategic interests and  enjoy widespread public support. "Only under these conditions can an  Armenian citizen vote for peace, demonstrating a conscious and  principled stance," Tigran Dumikyan concluded.