Forecast: Lavrov can no longer impose his "plan" on anyone under the  current geopolitical realities

ArmInfo. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov can no longer impose his conditional plan- a ready-made solution to the entire complex of problems caused by Artsakh, on  anyone under the current geopolitical realities s. Director of the  Caucasus Institute Alexander Iskandaryan expressed a similar opinion  to ArmInfo .

 "Unlike some opinions, according to which the "plan"  begins to be implemented with each visit of Lavrov in Yerevan, in  reality this decision should be agreed with all the players and  interested parties. First of all, it should be accepted by Yerevan,  Baku and Ankara. However, the radical disagreements and  contradictions in the positions of the parties to the conflict in  establishing peace in the region, linking this path with the context  of the Karabakh problem at least indicates that it will be very  difficult to resolve this issue," he stressed.

As an example of the complexity of the current geopolitical  realities, the political scientist put forward the process of  implementing paragraph 9 of the Trilateral Statement of November 9,  2020. Noting this point, which envisages the possibility of  communication between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan, as the only point  related to any future of the conflict region, Iskandaryan stressed  the absence of any real progress in its implementation.

"Of course, Baku and Ankara are trying to put pressure on Yerevan in  this and other issues, in cooperation with each other, as well as  with Moscow, etc. This is quite normal for politics and geopolitics  and, in principle, there is no other way. The whole question is the  success of such a policy of pressure. We see that so far in this  matter they, let's say, have not succeeded too much," he said.

According to the political scientist, Russia, in turn, is working in  the Caucasian direction, including with Azerbaijan and Turkey. And in  general, it does not seek to get involved in difficult situations  anywhere else, except for Ukraine. And the South Caucasus for Russia  is only a part of the Turkish vector of its policy. Just like, for  example, Syria is such a vector. In his opinion, the main directions  of Russian policy are China, as well as Central Asia, the situation  in which is largely due to the same relationship with China.

"And of course, Russia is very busy with the Ukrainian conflict.  Speaking of this, I mean by no means only the military operations on  Ukrainian territory. We are talking about the whole complex of  relations between Russia and the West. In this light, returning to  the South Caucasus, I should admit that Moscow is trying to do  everything to maintain relative stability in the south in the context  of the main direction of its unfinished conflict in Ukrain,"  Iskandaryan concluded.