Politician: Rift with Russia  threatens  Armenia`s national and  economic security

ArmInfo.  These days, an atmosphere of preparation for victory pervades Baku. In a statement posted on his Facebook page, Suren Surenyants, whose party ("Democratic Alternative"), has joined the " Proposal for Armenia"  initiative, claimed that while Armenian society is mired in  "political turbulence" and the leadership "recklessly rushes toward  the West," Azerbaijan is actively moving from words to action.

According to him, the Armenian people await a fateful choice on June  7. "On June 18-19, a festival with an eloquent title 'Return to  Western Azerbaijan' will be held in Baku. This is a clear political  signal. Baku no longer operates according to the logic of the status  quo, but is considering 'acquiring' new territories within Armenia's  sovereign territory. However, the main intrigue will be resolved much  earlier than June 7." The politician argued that Azerbaijani  President Ilham Aliyev is preparing to celebrate a victory that is  not contingent on military force, but rather on the outcome of  Armenia's domestic political shifts. According to Surenyants, the  "reproduction" of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's administration  would represent a definitive win for Baku's agenda. 

He added that a weak government, dependent on external interests and  with vulnerable internal legitimacy, is Azerbaijan's best ally. It  was during Pashinyan's rule that Armenia gradually abandoned Artsakh,  and today Yerevan is already limiting its jurisdiction and  sovereignty within its own territory. The country has found itself in  deep political isolation. "We have damaged relations with Russia, but  have not filled the security vacuum with new allies," Surenyants  emphasized.

The politician described the conflict with Moscow as emotionally  driven and pragmatically unsound, leading to the collapse of the  existing security architecture, with no new ones being created.  Armenia now finds itself in a security vacuum. "The bitter truth must  be stated frankly: the EU and the US are unreliable partners. When it  comes to real military support, Brussels and Washington are primarily  concerned with their own interests. Not a single American soldier  will stand on the Nakhichevan border, not a single European observer  will block the corridor with their body. The West has its own  interests in the South Caucasus, treating the country as a bargaining  chip.

Beyond military concerns, the politician warned that a rupture with  Russia would trigger severe economic consequences for Armenia's  security. He argued that a Russian withdrawal would create a void  that would be rapidly filled by the "Azerbaijani-Turkish tandem".  "Baku clearly sees this vulnerability and is only increasing the  pressure. The consequences are inevitable: Armenia, left without  allies, is now defenseless against the aggressive ambitions of  Azerbaijan and Turkey. Ankara and Baku are acting in tandem,  demanding the "Zangezur Corridor." Armenia does not and will not  receive serious support from the West.  Western capitals have other  priorities. This is why Baku is encouraged. If Pashinyan regains  power on June 7, the victory of the Azerbaijani agenda will be final  and irreversible. This undesirable scenario for Armenia can only be  stopped in one way: Armenian society must reject Pashinyan's rule on  June 7," the politician wrote.